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Slide 1: Summary
Slide 2: Assumptions
Slide 3: Demand
Slide 4: Imports/Exports
Slide 5: Fuel Prices
Slide 6: Price Sensitivities
Slide 7: Dynamic Price Simulator
Slide 8: Analysis
 


REPORT ITEM: DYNAMIC PRICE SIMULATOR - AVERAGE ON-PEAK RT MASS HUB LMP SCENARIO ANALYSIS

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DYNAMIC PRICE SIMULATOR - AVERAGE ON-PEAK RT MASS HUB LMP SCENARIO ANALYSIS

Using our dynamic price simulator, we see low price sensitivities of less than $1 per 100 MW. Price sensitivities remain a function of the ISO's ability to recover from and replace lost generation or react to short notice external transactions. Prices today are expected to move $2 lower to $47 if imports increase by an additional 500 MW. Similarly, with the loss of an additional 500 MW of base load generation combined with an increase in demand net imports of 400 MW (total of 900 MW), we can expect to see hourly prices move $8 higher to $57.



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